Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
May - July 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- The highest probabilities are indicated over parts of Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somalia, eastern Kenya and coastal Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sectors of the region, specifically in much of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, Uganda, and western and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas of southern Somalia, western Ethiopia, western Sudan and central Uganda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and equatorial parts of the region including most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Kenya, southern Uganda as well as parts of south-western and north-eastern Ethiopia.
- Normal to dry than …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region, with the highest probabilities over part of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter-than-usual conditions expected over parts of the central to southern areas of the country.
- The northern part of the country is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region..
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over eastern Kenya, extending to southern areas of Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region.
- The northern sector is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, northern and south-western Uganda, and Rwanda.